The Confirmation Obstacle Course: Signaling Opposition through Delay

Authors

  • Lisa M. Holmes
  • Salmon A. Shomade
  • Roger E. Hartley

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15763/issn.2374-7781.2012.33.0.23-49

Abstract

We examine the time required for lower federal court nominees to complete the confirmation process. Using proportional hazards models, we analyze delay at the Judiciary Committee stage and the full Senate vote stage from 1977 to 2010, finding that delay has been used by members of the committee and the full Senate to signal opposition to nominees. Delay at the committee stage has influenced delay on the Senate floor for circuit and district court nominees, at least in the years since Robert Bork’s failed nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court. Our findings indicate that senators pick up on committee delay as a cue in the confirmation process. Examining the distinct stages of the confirmation process provides important new insights into legislative signaling behavior and confirmation politics.

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2012-04-01

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