Political Geography of the South: A Spatial Analysis of the 2008 Presidential Election

Authors

  • Chad J. Kinsella Assistant Professor of Political Science at Lander University, Greenwood, South Carolina

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15763/issn.2374-779X.2013.34.0.227-240

Abstract

The region identified as the "South" arguably has been and continues to be the most politically interesting and analyzed region in the United States. Using election results and county maps of the eleven southern states, this study provides a spatial analysis of the counties in this region. Through the use of Geographic Information Systems (GIS), this study analyzes the 2008 presidential election using counties as the unit of analysis within these states. This exploratory study will provide data as to which candidate won each county as well as a "landslide" county map that denotes counties that supported a candidate by a margin of twenty percent or more. This study will also investigate the difference in county-level voting between the 2004 and 2008 election to see how the preferences of the electorates changed. Finally, a contextual analysis, using data gathered from the United States Census Bureau will identify county population demographics that help explain voting behavior as well as the change in vote between 2004 and 2008.

References

Bartels, Larry M. 2000. Partisanship and Voting Behavior, 1952-1996. American Journal of Political Science 44:35-50. https://doi.org/10.2307/2669291

Bishop, Bill. 2008. The Big Sort: Why the Clustering of Like-Minded America is Tearing Us Apart. New York: Houghton Mifflin Company.

Black, Earl, and Merle Black. 1987. Politics and Society in the South. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

Books, John W., and Charles L. Prysby. 1991. Political Behavior and the Local Context. New York: Praeger.

Brown, Michael, Larry Knopp, and Richard Morrill. 2005. The Culture Wars and Urban Electoral Politics: Sexuality, Race, and Class in Tacoma, Washington. Political Geography 24:267-291. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2004.09.004

Buchanan, Scott E. 2009. The Continued Convergence of Demographics and Issues. Pp. 3-16 in A Paler Shade of Red: The 2008 Presidential Election in the South, eds. Branwell Kapeluck, Laurence Moreland, and Robert Steed. Fayetteville: University of Arkansas Press.

Clayton, Dewey M. 2010. The Presidential Campaign of Barack Obama: A Critical Analysis of a Racially Transcendent Strategy. New York: Routledge.

Deskins, Donald R., Hanes Walton, Jr., and Serman C. Puckett. 2010. Presidential Elections, 1789-2008: County, State, and National Mapping of Election Data. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.

Elazar, Daniel. 1966. American Federalism: A View from the States. New York: Crowell.

Gimpel, James G., and Jason E. Schuknecht. 2002. Reconsidering Political Regionalism in the American States. State Politics and Policy Quarterly 2(4):325-352. https://doi.org/10.1177/153244000200200401

Glaser, James M. 1996. Race, Campaign Politics, and the Realignment in the South. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.

Key, V.O., Jr. 1949. Southern Politics in State and Nation. New York: Alfred A. Knopf.

King, Gary. 1996. Why Context Should Not Count. Political Geography 15(2):159-164. https://doi.org/10.1016/0962-6298(95)00079-8

King, Gary. 1997. A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

Kuklinski, James H., Michael D. Cobb, and Martin Gilens. 1997. Racial Attitudes and the 'New South.' Journal of Politics 59:323-349. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381600053470

Lesthaeghe, Ron, and Lisa Neidert. 2009. U.S. Presidential Elections and the Spatial Pattern of the American Second Demographic Transition. Population and Development Review 35:391-400. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00284.x

Nossiter, Adam. 2008. For South, A Waning Hold on National Politics. Posted on New York Times website, http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/11/us/politics/11south.html?pagewanted=all&_moc.semityn.www, accessed October 23, 2011.

Oppenheimer, Bruce. 2005. Deep Red and Blue Congressional Districts: The Causes and Consequences of Declining Party Competitiveness. Pp. 135-158 in Congress Reconsidered, 8th ed., eds. Lawrence Dodd and Bruce Oppenheimer. Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly Press.

Saad, Lydia. 2008. Blacks, Postgrads, Young Adults Help Obama Prevail. Posted on Gallup website, www.gallup.com, accessed November 6, 2008.

Schaller, Thomas. 2006. Whistling Past Dixie: How Democrats Can Win Without the South. New York: Simon and Schuster.

Sinclair-Chapman, Valeria, and Melanye Price 2008. Black Politics, the 2008 Election, and the (Im)possibility of Race Transcendence. PS: Political Science and Politics 41:739-745. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096508080992

U.S. Bureau of the Census. n.d. American FactFinder. Available at http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/index.xhtml.

Downloads

Published

2018-06-20

Issue

Section

Articles